Are Republicans or Democrats more animated for the midterms?
Is the ‘blue wave’ turning in to purple?
According to data, in the midterms, the enthusiasm from the early GOP voters could result in a considerable amount of dent in the ‘blue waves’ of the Democrats.
Target Smart provided a data that was independently analyzed by the NBC News Data Analytics Lab and according to that data, in seven closely watched states the voters affiliated to the Republican have outpaced the voters affiliated to the Democratic in early voting.
In the early voting that took place In Florida, Arizona, Indiana, Montana, Georgia, Texas and Tennessee the data showed the Democratic affiliated voters are held back by the GOP affiliated ones.
According to the data so far in the early voting only in Nevada the Republican affiliated voters have been pushed back by the Democratic affiliated voters.
Key Senate races that will play a pivotal role to prove which party controls the chamber are in progress in seven of those eight states.
In the polls so far with in person early voting the Democrats are inclined to have the advantage and the Republicans tend to dominate by absentee ballots in the early voting.
In Arizona, in order to fill the Senate seat of retiring Republican Jeff Flake Republican Martha McSally and Democrat Kyrsten Sinema the two members of the House are batting out a neck and neck contest. The Democratic affiliation voters registered only a 33 percent while the Republican affiliation voters registered a 44 percent and are head of the Democrats. In NBC News’ partisan analysis the Twenty three percent of early voters who were found to be not allied with either major party are named in to a category called ‘other.’
In Florida — the Democratic affiliation voters registered only a 38 percent while the Republican affiliation voters registered a 44 percent and are head of the Democrats where Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson is running for a re-election against Republican Gov. Rick Scott. Eighteen percent of early voters were found to be not allied with either major party in Florid.
In Indiana — the Democratic affiliation voters registered only a 39 percent while the Republican affiliation voters registered a 51 percent and are head of the Democrats where the Republican businessman Mike Braun challenged the Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly for a re-election. Ten percent of early voters were found to be not allied with either major party in Indiana.
In Montana — in a state that President Donald Trump won by 21 points, the Democratic affiliation voters registered only a 29 percent while the Republican affiliation voters registered a 46 percent and are head of the Democrats where Democratic Sen. Jon Tester is up for re-election. Twenty five percent of early voters were found to be not allied with either major party in Indiana.
In Tennessee —in order to fill the Senate seat of retiring Republican Bob Corker former Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen is in a close race with Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn. The Democratic affiliation voters registered only a 30 percent while the Republican affiliation voters registered a 63 percent and are head of the Democrats. Seven percent of early voters were found to be not allied with either major party in Indiana.
Additional patterns were also revealed in early voting data provided by Target Smart and analyzed by NBC News.
In Florida, Women voters have outpaced men voters so far (55 percent to 45 percent), Montana (49 percent to 48 percent), Indiana (53 percent to 46 percent), Georgia (54 percent to 46 percent), Tennessee (52 percent to 48 percent) and Texas (59 percent to 41 percent), the data showed.
Only in Nevada Male voters have outpaced women voters so far (49 percent to 47 percent). In Arizona, 48% men and 48% women have voted so far.
Source 1: www.nbcnews.com
Source 2: thehill.com